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Macro Trends to Watch: Inflation, Policy Shifts, and Their Impact on Your Portfolio

Macro Trends to Watch: Inflation, Policy Shifts, and Their Impact on Your Portfolio

Macro Trends to Watch: Inflation, Policy Shifts, and Their Impact on Your Portfolio

Jun 18, 2024

Jun 18, 2024

Jun 18, 2024

Blue Flower
Blue Flower

Introduction

Major economic forces, such as inflation and government policy changes, can significantly alter market dynamics. Staying informed about these macro trends can help you adjust investment strategies proactively.

Key Trends

  1. Rising Inflation Concerns
    Persistent inflation can erode purchasing power and push investors toward inflation-protected securities or hard assets like commodities.

  2. Changing Monetary Policies
    Central bank interest rate hikes can impact bond yields, mortgage rates, and stock valuations.

  3. Global Trade Dynamics
    Tariffs and international agreements shape corporate profitability, especially for export-dependent sectors.

Data Points

  • According to the IMF, global inflation is projected to hover around 4–5% annually in the coming years, depending on policy interventions1.

  • Changes in the Federal Reserve’s interest rate have historically correlated with equity market fluctuations of 10% or more over short periods2.

How Surmount Wealth Does It Better

Surmount Wealth’s real-time analytics track economic indicators and alert you when certain thresholds are reached. This allows you to pivot quickly—revisiting allocations or rebalancing to safeguard and grow capital amid shifting macro landscapes.

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How can this impact my business?
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Will we need to make changes in our teams?

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Get in touch with our team.

Surmount builds investment management software with the objective to provide investors with a more convenient & personalized experience

Quantitative Finance LLC ("QFL") is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Surmount Investments Inc, is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). By using this website, you accept our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Surmount’s investment advisory services are available only to residents of the United States in jurisdictions where Surmount is registered.
Nothing on this website should be considered an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns [or probability projections] may not reflect future performance. Account holdings are for illustrative purposes only and are not investment recommendations.
The content on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a comprehensive description of Surmount’s investment advisory services. Refer to Surmount's Program Brochure for more information. Certain investments are not suitable for all investors. Before investing, consider your investment objectives and Surmount’s fees. The rate of return on investments can vary widely over time, especially for long term investments. Investment losses are possible, including the potential loss of all amounts invested. Brokerage services are provided to Surmount Clients by Alpaca Securities LLC, an SEC registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/SIPC. For more information, see our disclosures.

† Surmount is an SEC-registered investment adviser. This does not imply any level of skill of training. Investing in securities always involves the risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and opinions presented herein should not be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

* These are not, nor intended to be, a testimonial or endorsement of Surmount's services.

© 2025 Surmount Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Surmount builds investment management software with the objective to provide investors with a more convenient & personalized experience

Quantitative Finance LLC ("QFL") is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Surmount Investments Inc, is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). By using this website, you accept our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Surmount’s investment advisory services are available only to residents of the United States in jurisdictions where Surmount is registered.
Nothing on this website should be considered an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns [or probability projections] may not reflect future performance. Account holdings are for illustrative purposes only and are not investment recommendations.
The content on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a comprehensive description of Surmount’s investment advisory services. Refer to Surmount's Program Brochure for more information. Certain investments are not suitable for all investors. Before investing, consider your investment objectives and Surmount’s fees. The rate of return on investments can vary widely over time, especially for long term investments. Investment losses are possible, including the potential loss of all amounts invested. Brokerage services are provided to Surmount Clients by Alpaca Securities LLC, an SEC registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/SIPC. For more information, see our disclosures.

† Surmount is an SEC-registered investment adviser. This does not imply any level of skill of training. Investing in securities always involves the risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and opinions presented herein should not be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

* These are not, nor intended to be, a testimonial or endorsement of Surmount's services.

© 2025 Surmount Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.

Surmount builds investment management software with the objective to provide investors with a more convenient & personalized experience

Quantitative Finance LLC ("QFL") is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Surmount Investments Inc, is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). By using this website, you accept our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Surmount’s investment advisory services are available only to residents of the United States in jurisdictions where Surmount is registered.
Nothing on this website should be considered an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns [or probability projections] may not reflect future performance. Account holdings are for illustrative purposes only and are not investment recommendations.
The content on this website is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a comprehensive description of Surmount’s investment advisory services. Refer to Surmount's Program Brochure for more information. Certain investments are not suitable for all investors. Before investing, consider your investment objectives and Surmount’s fees. The rate of return on investments can vary widely over time, especially for long term investments. Investment losses are possible, including the potential loss of all amounts invested. Brokerage services are provided to Surmount Clients by Alpaca Securities LLC, an SEC registered broker-dealer and member FINRA/SIPC. For more information, see our disclosures.

† Surmount is an SEC-registered investment adviser. This does not imply any level of skill of training. Investing in securities always involves the risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and opinions presented herein should not be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

* These are not, nor intended to be, a testimonial or endorsement of Surmount's services.

© 2025 Surmount Technologies, LLC. All rights reserved.